Jonathan E. Czarnecki, Ph.D.

Col. (ret.), U.S. Army

Professor College of Distance Education
Default Image

Biography

Jonathan E. Czarnecki currently is professor of Joint Military/Maritime Operations, Naval War College, Monterey. He is a retired Army colonel with more than 27 years of experience in the field and staff. His M.A. and Ph.D. in Political Science and Applied Social Statistics are from the State University of New York at Buffalo; his B.S. in Social Sciences/Industrial Management is from Clarkson University. He has published numerous articles on joint operations, organizational behavior, operational art, information, complexity and systems thinking as applied to national security.

Areas of Expertise

  • Arctic
  • Asymmetrical Warfare
  • Civil-Military Relations
  • COIN
  • Command and Control
  • Electronic Warfare
  • Foreign Policy
  • Ground Warfare
  • Information Operations
  • Intel
  • International Relations
  • Irregular Warfare
  • Joint Operations
  • JPME
  • Leadership
  • Military Planning
  • Military Theory
  • National Security
  • Nuclear
  • Operational Warfare
  • Vietnam War
  • Wargaming

Professional Highlights

2013

Research Sector Lead, Governance Innovation for Security and Development (GISD) Project

2013-15, GISD Project, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA. Provided full range of research activities in the safe and secure environment sector of research sponsored by USSOCOM.
2009

Affiliated Professor

2009-Present: Providing JPME 1 exercise oversight and management for Civil Affairs and PSYOP personnel in the Stability, Security, and Development in Complex Operations (SSDCO) curriculum. Also co-taught Globalization and Governance, GP 3100, for same curriculum.
2001

Professor, Joint Maritime Operations

2001-Present: Provide all facets of graduate education in joint maritime operations for the Naval War College, College of Distance Education program on the campus of the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA.
1997

Senior Advisor and Assistant Professor

1997-2001: Defense Resource Management Institute, agent for the Department of Defense Comptroller, at Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA. Providing facilitation and instruction on the Planning, Programming and Budgeting System (PPBS.)
1995

Deputy Chief Financial and Strategic Planning Officer

1995-1997: Army National Guard, Headquarters Department of the Army, Washington, DC. Provided resource management within PPBS and JOPES for $36 Billion program affecting 350,000 soldiers and 27,000 civilians.
1993

Chief, Strategic Planning and Programming Resources Officer

1993-1995: Army National Guard, Headquarters Department of the Army, Washington, DC. Providing planning and programming of resources for entire Army National Guard in 54 states and territories.
1992

Secretary for the General Staff

1992-1993: National Guard Bureau, Washington, DC. Provided administration, network support, and training for joint general staff of the national guard of 54 states and territories.
1991

Senior advisor and analyst, Human Resources Task Force

1991-92: Deputy Chief of Staff, Personnel, Headquarters Department of the Army, Alexandria, VA. Provided research, analysis and supervision of personnel engaged in reengineering the Army personnel system (Wagstaff Study.)
1989

Chief, Long Range Planning and Strategic Intelligence

1989-1991: Army National Guard, Headquarters Department of the Army, Washington, DC. Organized, developed, implemented and assessed national Army National Guard long range plan, and facilitated same in 54 states and territories.
1983

Human Resources (Manpower) Analyst (Staff Action Officer)

1983-1988: Army National Guard, Headquarters Department of the Army, Washington, DC. Provided program management for the 60,000 soldier/civilian full-time support program for the Army National Guard.

Education

2001 Naval War College Command and General Staff College (With Great Distinction), Newport, Rhode Island1999 Strategic Planning, American Management Association1998 Defense Strategy, Army War College, Carlisle, Pennsylvania1994 Defense Resource Management, Defense Resource Management Institute1988 Armed Forces Staff College, Norfolk, Virginia (With Distinction)1983 Signal Officer Advanced, Ft. Gordon, Georgia (With Great Distinction)1979 Ph.D., Political Science, State University of New York At Buffalo, New York1978 Organizational Facilitation, Institute for Man and Science, Rensellaerville, New York1975-1978 Charles F. Kettering Fellow, SUNY/Buffalo1976 M.A., Political Science, SUNY/Buffalo1970 Communications Operations and Security, Ft. Monmouth and Ft. Holabird (with Great Distinction)1970 Signal Officer Basic, Ft. Gordon (with Distinction)1970 B.S. Social Sciences and Industrial Management, Clarkson University, New York

Related Credentials

Certified Planner, American Management AssociationCertified Facilitator, Institute for Man and ScienceCertified Defense Strategist, Army War CollegeCertified Budget Analyst, National Association of State Budget OfficersCertified Total Quality Management Advisor, National Guard Bureau

Research Contributions

• With Steven B. Hall, “A Framework for Modeling the Impact of Sensemaking Crises on the Agility Resilience of Complex Social Identity Groups,” chapter in Saurrabh Mittal, Saikou Diallo, and Andreas Tolk (editors), Emergent Behavior in Complex Systems Engineering; New York: John Wiley & Sons, forthcoming.• With Robert Tomlinson, The Influence of Foreign Wars on Domestic Military Policy: The Yom Kippur War and the U.S. Military; Lanham, Maryland: Lexington Books, forthcoming.• With Steven B. Hall, “How Organizations in Crisis Respond: A Theoretical Integrative Model,” paper presented at the International Studies Association Annual Conference, Baltimore, Maryland, February 2017.• “New Aspects of Security: Centerpiece for Civil Affairs Engagement,” paper presented at the International Studies Association Annual Conference, Baltimore, Maryland, February 2017.• With Robert Tomlinson, “The Influence of Foreign Wars on Domestic Military Policy: the Case of the Yom Kippur War,” paper presented at the International Studies Association Annual Conference, Baltimore, Maryland, February 2017.• “Real Organizational Transformation: The United States Army and Task Force Delta,” paper presented at the International Security Studies Symposium-International Studies Association Conference, South Bend, Indiana, November 2016.• With Steven Hall, “The Three Carriers of Midway: A Case Study of Behavioral Diversity as a Function of Organizational Resiliency,” paper presented at the International Studies Association West Annual Conference, Pasadena, California, September 2016.• With Robert Tomlinson, “Active Learning, Competency-Based Education and the Integrated Curriculum for Professional Military Education: The Baltic Scenario Simulation of the Naval War College,” paper presented at the International Studies Association West Conference, Pasadena, California, September 2016.• “C2 Success and Failure in Major Combat Operations: A Statistical Analysis,” in Proceedings of the 20th ICCRTS; Alexandria, Virginia: CCRP Publications, 2016.• “Organizational Change and Operational Success: Some Evidence from the Ultimate Form of Social Conflict,” paper presented at the International Studies Association-West Conference, Pasadena, California, September, 2015• “The Necessity for Civil Affairs to Confront The New Forms of Security,” paper for The Civil Affairs Association, August 2015• “Globalization, Information and Change: A Comparative Analysis of Bobbit’s and Mann’s Theses,” paper for International Security Studies Symposium-International Studies Association Annual Conference on Security Studies, November 15, 2014, Austin, Texas• “New Concepts of Security for Stabilization and Reconstruction,” paper for the International Studies Association-West Conference, September 27, 2014, Pasadena, California.• “Safe and Secure Environments: A Literature Review, “for GISD project and publication, 2014.• Command and Control,” a contributory essay to G. Kurt Piehler (editor), Encyclopedia of Military Science; Thousand Oaks, California: SAGE Publications, 2013.• “Military Operations in Cold Weather,” a contributory essay to G. Kurt Piehler (editor), Encyclopedia of Military Science; Thousand Oaks, California: SAGE Publications, 2013.• with K. Todd Chamberlain, “Graceful Degradation: A C2 Design Virtue for Our Times, “ Eighteenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Washington, D.C., June 2013.• “The Effects of Information Distribution in Major Combat Operations,” International Studies Association Annual Conference, San Francisco, California, March 2013.• with Dayne L. Nix, “Practicing Stability: The Use of Scenarios in Learning about Civil Military Operations,” International Security Studies Symposium/International Studies Association Conference, Durham, North Carolina, October 2012.• “The Limits of More Information,” British International Studies Association/International Studies Association Conference, Edinburgh, Scotland, June 2012.• “Social Distance and Generations of Warfare,” International Security Studies Symposium, Long Beach, California, October 2011.• “A Working Model for Considering Civil Military Operations From the Command (and Control) Perspective,” Sixteenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Quebec City, Quebec, June 2011.• “C2 Effectiveness and Operational Success: An Empirical Exploration,” Sixteenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Quebec City, Quebec, June 2011.• “Refugee Wars, or The Return of the Huns,” International Security Studies Symposium/International Studies Association Conference, Providence, Rhode Island, October 2010.• “Philosophy driving Ontology: Ideas from the Past Influencing the Future of Command (and Control),” Fifteenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Santa Monica, California, June, 2010.• “Military Organizations and Operations as Models of Change: A Statistical Explanation of Who Succeeds and Fails On the Battlefield,” Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, April 2010• “Homeland Security: Enduring Weakness of Command and Control,” Western Political Science Association, San Francisco, California, April, 2010• “Defining the Operating Environment: The Critical First Step in 21st Century Military Operations,” ISSS/ISAC Conference, Monterey, California, October, 2009• “Agility and Appropriateness: Matching Shift to Scale,” Fourteenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Washington, D.C., June, 2009• “Why Combat Operations Succeed or Fail: A Final Report on the Major Combat Operations Statistical Model (MCOSM),” Midwest Political Science Association, April, 2009.• “The National Security Strategy of the United States: Performance over Time,” Strategos, Vol. 1, Issue 1, January, 2009.• “The Limits of Information,” Proceedings of the PROTEUS Workshop; Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania: United States Army War College, July, 2008.• “The National Security Strategy of the United States: Efficiency and Effectiveness,Performance over Time,” International Security Affairs Conference, Vail, Colorado, October, 2008• “The Failed Thermostat: The Illusion of Control In an Information-Rich Age,” Thirteenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Seattle, Washington, June, 2008.• “Understanding Modern Major Combat Operations: Lessons from the Extreme Edge of Politics,” Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April, 2008• “Command and Control Operational Warfare in an Age of Entropy,” for Tenth International Command and Control Research and Technology Symposium, Newport, Rhode Island, June, 2007.• “Confronting the Enemy: The United States Navy Between 1962-1980,” in Kenneth Hagan, editor, In Peace and War, revised edition to be published in 2007.• “The CoG Crutch and Other Concepts of a Transformational System,” in Campaigning, Joint Advanced Warfighting School, Joint Forces Staff College, Summer, 2006.• “Exploring the Oracle of Battle: The Pursuit of a Practical Theory of Joint Combat Operations,” in International Symposium of Forecasting Conference Proceedings, ISF Press: San Antonio, Texas, June, 2005.• “Much Ado About…little: (Or How to Confuse and Confound the Public on Defense Dollars)”, for Northrup Information Services, Scott, Virginia, December 26, 2004.• with Kenneth Hagan, “Transforming Athena: Educating Officers During A Period of Great Change,” for Fifth Annual Conference on Military Pedagogy, Shrivenham, England, December 14, 2004.• “Oracle of Battle: A First Approach to Forecasting Success in Joint Combat Operations,” in International Symposium of Forecasting Conference Proceedings, ISF Press: Sydney, Australia, July, 2004.• “Towards a Theory of Joint Military Operations,” in InFORMS Annual Conference Proceedings, InFORMS: Atlanta, December, 2003.• “Attributes for an Effective Homeland Defense,” in InFORMS Annual Conference Proceedings, InFORMS: San Jose, California, November, 2002.• "Long and Deep Journey: A 21st Strategic Planning Approach for the Army National Guard Directorate." Submitted for publication to National Guard Review, December, 2000.• "Learning from the Past: What Wellington can teach 21st Century Warriors." Submitted for the Colbert Prize, Naval War College, June, 1999.• "Strategic Planning in Uncertain Times: Using Cross Impact Analysis."Presented at the International Quality Planning Conference Seminar, Washington: May, 1997.• Supporting Data for the State of Franklin. A technical supplement to the Army National Guard Strategic Planning course. Washington, National Guard Bureau: 1996.• The Army National Guard Long-Range Plan, Washington, National Guard Bureau: 1990, 1991.• Energy Prospects for New York State: A Qualitative Forecast: A Special Report to the Senate Minority Leader. Albany, New York: New York State Senate, 1980.• "An Initial Analysis of New York State Hazardous Waste Transportation Policy." Presented at the Adelphi Forum, Adelphi University, Westbury, New York: March, 1981.• "Qualitative Energy Forecasts." Presented at the National Energy Conference, West Virginia University, Morgantown: September, 1980.• "Community Impact Assessment: A Survey Approach." Presented at the Conference on Social Impact Assessment, Calgary, Canada: 1980.• "Rural Housing in New York State." Presented at the New York State Conference on Rural Housing, Plattsburgh, New York: 1979.• In Rem Housing. A Special Report for the New York State Senate Housing Committee, Albany, New York: 1979.• "Water Pollution Control: An Implementation Estimate Based on the Predispositions of Implementors," with Sheldon Kamieniecki and Steven Cohen. Occasional Paper, Environmental Studies Center, State University of New York, Buffalo: 1979.• with Sheldon Kamieniecki, "Representation and Participation in Water Quality Planning,". Presented at the Western Political Science Association meeting, Portland, Oregon: 1978.• "Community through Participation." Presented at the American Political Science Association Annual meeting, Chicago: 1978.• with Sheldon Kamieniecki, "Public Participation in Water Quality Planning," in Energy and Environmental Issues, Michael Stedman (ed.), Lexington Books, 1978.• with Harry Klodowski and Lester Milbrath,"Beliefs about Growth," Technology and Growth, Volume XIII, May, 1978.• as part of the Environmental Studies Center Staff, "An Extra Dimension of Representation in Water Quality Planning: A Survey of Erie and Niagara Counties, New York, 1976," Occasional Paper, Environmental Studies Center, State University of New York, Buffalo: 1977.• with Robert Sahr, "Environmental Beliefs of Adirondack Residents and Leaders," in Proceedings of the Northern New York-Lake Champlain Environmental Conference, Miner Center, Chazy, New York: 1975.

Awards and Decorations

Military:Defense Meritorious Service MedalMeritorious Service Medal (4 Awards)Army Commendation Medal (2 Awards)Army Achievement Medal (4 Awards)National Defense Service Medal (2 Awards)Armed Forces Reserve MedalOverseas Service Ribbon Department of Defense Staff Identification BadgeArmy Staff Identification BadgeCivilian:Navy Incentive Awards (3)Length of Services Awards (5, 10, 15 years)Charles F. Kettering Fellowship 1975-78

Other Honors

CONFERENCES AND ROLES:• Panel Chair, ISA West Annual Conference, 2015• Panel Chair, ISSS-ISA Annual Conference on Security Studies, 2015• Panel Chair, ISSS-ISA Annual Conference on Security Studies, 2014• Panel Chair, World International Studies Association Conference, 2014• Poster, International Studies Association, 2013• Panel Chair, International Studies Association, 2013• Discussant, International Studies Association, 2013• Panel Chair, ISSS/ISA, 2012• Discussant, ISSS/ISA, 2011• Discussant, Midwest Political Science Association, 2010.• Panel Chair and Presenter, Midwest Political Science Association, 2009.• Panel Chair and Presenter, Midwest Political Science Association, 2008.• Eisenhower Conference on Homeland Security, October, 2005, Participant.• International Symposium of Forecasters, June, 2005, Panel Chair and presenter.• Army War College Annual Strategy Conference, April, 2004, Strategy Workshop Participant.• National inFORMS Conference, October 2003, Panel Chair and presenter.• Current Strategy Forum, June 2003, Facilitator.• Annual Strategy Conference, April 2003, Workshop participant.• Washington DC inFORMS Conference, April 2003, Discussant.• National inFORMS Conference, November 2002, Presenter.• Fletcher Conference on National Strategy, September 2002, Participant.- Army War College Annual Strategy Conference, April 2002, Strategy Workshop Participant.• Institute of National Security Studies (NDU) Conference on Joint Operations, September, 2001, Participant.• Army War College Annual Strategy Conference, April 2000, Teaching Workshop Participant• Army War College Annual Strategy Conference, April 1999, Workshop Participant

External Memberships and Associations

American Political Science AssociationAssociation of United States Army StrategistsInternational Security AssociationInternational Security Studies SymposiumUnited States Naval Institute

News, Media, & Events

?

23rd International Seapower Symposium

Sep. 18, 2018
8:00 a.m.
U.S. Naval War College, 686 Cushing Road, Newport, RI 02841
?

Multi-Domain Entropy

Jul. 19, 2017
Small War Journal
Article Publication

Material and external links contained herein are made available for the purpose of peer review and discussion and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Naval War College, Department of the Navy or the Department of Defense.